중국 새해가 비즈니스에 어떤 영향을 미칠까요? ?

If you outsource any product from China, you’re probably familiar with Chinese New Year, also known as CNY. Perhaps your supply chain has even experienced CNY before. If so, you know that Chinese New Year is in a class by itself when it comes to preparing for production and shipping disruptions. If this Chinese New Year will be your first rodeo, let us help keep your supply chain on track while minimizing any negative impacts.

Chinese New Year will begin Tuesday, February 1st, 2022. Typically, Chinese offices and factories close for about three working weeks, allowing workers time to travel back home to spend the holiday with their families. To get a better idea of how large the migration movement during the Chinese New Year holiday, Baidu, which is often referred to as China’s version of Google, released an interactive map tracking the migration patterns around the country. Here’s the migration map from 2015:

~ 안에 2015, an estimated 80 million workers, the majority in urban areas along China’s coast, traveled by road, train, and plane back to their rural hometowns during CNY. The massive holiday migration goes back to the late 1970s when economic reforms caused extraordinary growth in cities in coastal regions of China, especially in the cities of Shenzhen, Xiamen, Shantou, and Zhuhai. Rural Chinese, looking for a stable paycheck, moved to cities hundreds of miles from home. But just like in the U.S., holidays are considered family time and the Chinese business calendar reflects that.

What Does Chinese New Year Mean for You?

Maybe you’re halfway around the world wondering why you should be mindful of and plan for the largest Chinese holiday of the year. Grab your calendar and follow along.

Although CNY officially only lasts for one week, many factories and businesses shut down about 10 days before CNY to allow time for workers to travel home. There is always a mad rush to ship product out of ports before the country shuts down. This can lead to increased freight costs and longer transit times if there is a delay at the port or a container is not loaded on its intended vessel.

Don’t forget to account for travel time back to the city. In all, the holiday can disrupt production and shipping schedules for up to three weeks or more. Interestingly, CNY 휴일은 직업을 바꾸기에 가장 좋은 시기로 간주됩니다., 많은 근로자가 전혀 직장에 복귀하지 않습니다.. 이로 인해 공장이 새로운 근로자를 찾고 생산 주문을 늘리는 데 어려움을 겪게 되면서 생산 시간이 더욱 길어질 수 있습니다..

중국은 세계 수출산업의 경제대국이기 때문에, CNY의 영향은 전 세계적으로 파급될 수 있습니다., 특히 중국산 수입품에 의존하는 소매업체 및 기타 모든 사람에게 적합합니다..

구정을 계획하는 방법

세계 최대 수출업체 중 하나가 거의 한 달 동안 문을 닫을 때 공급망을 원활하게 운영하기 위해 무엇을 할 수 있습니까?? 우리는 다음과 같이 설명했습니다. 10 공급망 중단을 최소화하기 위해 춘절을 적극적으로 계획하는 팁:

1. CNY 동안 무슨 일이 일어나는지 이해하기

미국에서는, it’s hard to fathom our businesses shutting down for three weeks or more. Sure, some of us take nice long vacations for the holidays, but there’s a good chance our offices are still open while we’re gone. Once you understand that China shuts down nearly everything for CNY and nothing, absolutely nothing will get out of China during that time, the better you can plan. Your orders need to ship prior to CNY and don’t forget to plan for inventory needed to get you through the holiday. There is no way to avoid CNY — it happens every year (albeit on different dates) and it requires advanced planning to minimize interruptions on your end.

2. Develop a trusting relationship with your supplier or manufacturer

초기에 중국 공급업체 또는 제조 파트너와 강력한 관계를 구축하는 것만큼 귀중한 것은 없습니다.. 중국에서 소싱하고 이제 막 공급업체 네트워크 구축을 시작한 경우, CNY 직전 몇 달 동안은 그러한 관계를 구축하기 어려울 것입니다.. CNY 직전에 중국 공장에 엄청난 압력이 있습니다, 귀하의 비즈니스가 공장의 최신 계정인 경우, 주문 완료 및 CNY 이전 배송과 관련하여 귀하의 상품이 최우선 순위가 될 가능성이 높습니다.. 제조 파트너와 협력하는 경우, CNY 호감을 처리한 경험이 있는지 확인하십시오.. 고객이 CNY를 계획하는 데 도움이 되도록 어떤 조치를 취하고 있는지 물어보세요.. One of the advantages of working with a manufacturing partner is that they usually have years of experience building a trustworthy supplier network and can help ensure your product is shipped on time during the hectic holiday rush.

3. Create a forecast to get you through CNY and beyond

If you’re able to forecast how much product you’ll need for the first 3 에게 4 months of the next year, you’ll have a leg up on ensuring your company has enough stock on hand to last you through CNY. We’ve created this simple rule to help account for CNY delays:

• For orders normally received in March, take 50% of the volume and receive it in January. Receive the other 50% of that volume in February.

공급업체 또는 제조 파트너에게 예측을 제공하는 또 다른 큰 이점은 공장에서 CNY 이후 수요를 확인할 수 있으므로 공장에서 직원 채용 및 교육을 더 일찍 시작할 수 있다는 것입니다., 직원 중 일부가 돌아오지 않을 것이라는 사실을 이미 알고 있음.

4. 미리 재고를 늘리세요

지난 팁에서 작성한 예측은 이번 조언에도 유용할 것입니다.. 내년 상반기에 필요한 제품의 양을 이미 알고 있는 경우, 내년 3월에 접수되어 재고를 보유할 주문이 부족한 점을 고려하여 지금 제품을 조금 더 주문할 수 있습니다.. An accurate forecast and previous sales history will be beneficial to keep inventory at manageable levels and ensure you don’t over-order product.

5. Deliver cargo to the port no later than 10 days before the ship date

If you’re responsible for arranging your own logistics from China to your company or customer’s door, book shipments with steamship lines well in advance of CNY. Steamship lines are notorious for taking advantage of the Chinese New Year situation when there is an abundance of shipments waiting to leave port before everything shuts down.

Steamship lines often impose large freight rate increases during this time, as the demand to get on board a cargo ship is high, and those who can afford to pay the higher cost will leave the port on time. CNY까지 몇 주 동안 컨테이너가 다음 예약으로 넘어간다는 소식을 듣는 것은 드문 일이 아닙니다.; 이는 컨테이너가 항구를 떠나는 다음 이용 가능한 선박에 부딪히게 됨을 의미합니다.. 컨테이너를 굴리는 빈도에 따라, 이로 인해 며칠 또는 몇 주가 지연될 수 있습니다.. CNY의 최대 수요를 처리하기 위해 보다 조직적이고 더 잘 준비된 운송 라인과 협력하는 경우가 많으므로 화물 운송업체 또는 제조 파트너와의 또 다른 신뢰 관계가 유용할 수 있습니다..

6. 계란을 한 바구니에 모두 담지 마세요

중국 이외의 국가에서 사업을 운영하는 제조업체와 협력하는 것을 고려해보세요.. 이는 공급망을 다양화하는 데 도움이 될 뿐만 아니라, but it’s possible your manufacturer could find a backup supplier if needed during the Chinese holiday. Some products are made of components from various countries which helps alleviate the pressure of one factory doing all the work. 예를 들어, components could be sourced from China, then shipped to Vietnam for assembly and packaging.Keep in mind that Vietnam also celebrates its Lunar New Year holiday, called Tet, on the same day as Chinese New Year. 하지만, Tet usually only lasts for one week, at most. The Tet effect is nowhere near as sizable as Chinese New Year, but factories and businesses still shut down for a week to allow workers to spend time with their families.

7. Put a Quality Management Plan into place

The last thing you want is for an order of goods that has quality issues to ship right before CNY. Sometimes quality can take a back seat as the factory is producing in high gear and is in a rush to get product out the door. This is yet another time when a trusted supplier or manufacturer relationship will help tremendously. Having a quality management and thorough inspection plan in place will drastically reduce the risks of a delayed shipment due to quality issues, or worse, shipping defective goods to your customer’s door.

8. Take advantage of Vendor-Managed Inventory

Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) is a business model that allows a vendor and a buyer to maintain an agreed level of inventory for a product. 공급업체는 보다 효율적으로 주문하고 계절적 수요와 시장 변화를 조정하여 필요한 재고 수준을 유지하도록 보장합니다., 구매자의 비용 절감에 도움. 공급업체는 일반적으로 수요를 예측하고 주문 일정을 개발하기 위해 판매 내역과 현재 재고가 필요합니다.. VMI는 리드 타임이 길어 어려움을 겪고 CNY와 같은 휴일을 처리하는 사람들에게 이상적입니다., 적절한 계획 없이 공급망에 큰 피해를 입힐 수 있습니다..

9. 설날 이후 계획

앞서 우리가 CNY 이후 모든 공장 ​​근로자가 이전 직장으로 돌아가지는 않을 것이라고 언급했던 것을 기억하십시오.? 연휴 전에만 계획을 세울 필요는 없어요, 하지만 그 후에도 마찬가지. 인력이 부족한 경우, 몇 주가 걸릴 수도 있어요, sometimes months, for the factory to get back up to normal production speed as they look for replacement workers. Having the forecast we mentioned or increased inventory on hand should help tide you over until the factories are producing at full capacity again.

10. Start planning early

It’s never too early to start planning for China’s biggest holiday. The earlier you begin, the better your supply chain will be. Analyze your sales history from the past year, start putting a forecast together and work with your suppliers and manufacturing partners now to begin planning for the upcoming Chinese holiday.

Knowing what to expect during CNY is only half the battle. Being well prepared is the best way to alleviate any negative impact on your supply chain. We hope these 10 tips reduce the CNY stress and contribute to a successful plan and smooth sailing through the next Chinese New Year.

Plan Ahead for Other Chinese Holidays

Chinese New Year may be the biggest holiday but there are actually several other Chinese holidays that could have an effect on your business. Below are the upcoming 2022 dates for the additional Chinese holidays:

• Qing Ming Jie (Tomb Sweeping Day) – Tuesday, April 5th
• International Labor Day – Sunday, May 1st
• Dragon Boat Festival – Friday, June 3rd
• Mid-Autumn Festival/Moon Festival – Saturday, September 10th
• Golden Week Holiday – Saturday, October 1st – Friday, October 7th

Shenzhen EAST LINE Customers

For customers of EAST LINE, we recommend any forecast or Purchase Order changes are communicated to us by November 15th, 2021, CNY 기간 동안 공급망을 가득 채우는 데 필요한 전략을 구현할 수 있도록 보장합니다..

일괄 구매 주문에 대해 EAST LINE의 창고 재고에서 출고를 받는 고객의 경우, CNY에 미치는 영향을 최소화하기 위해 재고를 자동으로 관리합니다.. 3월 한 달 동안의 업데이트된 예측만 제공해 주시기 바랍니다..

CNY 계획에 대해 질문이 있는 경우 전담 EAST LINE 고객 계정 분석가에게 문의하세요. 2022.

EAST LINE의 CNY 연휴는 1월 15일부터 시작됩니다., 2022 2월 16일까지, 2022. 해당 기간 동안 당사 공장 생산이 중단됩니다..